FNIH 2 PROJECT (PROGRESS OA) NOW PUBLISHED IN ACR OPEN RHEUMATOLOGY
Published on October 24, 2025 by Chondrometrics-admin
ACR Open Rheumatol. 2025 Sep;7(9):e70085 https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/40977252/
With Jamie Collins from Harvard University and Chondrometrics SAB member as a first author, the 2nd large osteoarthritis biomarker consortium qualification project that was supported by the Foundation of the National Institutes of Health (FNIH), has now been published:
The goal was to validate MRI-based prognostic biomarkers using data from the placebo arms of available and previously completed randomized placebo-controlled clinical trials (RCTs)
A key finding was that the following structural features, each qualified by the FNIH1 study, were consistently associated with disease progression: Quantitative cartilage thickness, semiquantitative cartilage damage, meniscal extrusion, and synovitis (Hoffa- and effusion-synovitis). These biomarkers each predicted radiographic (JSW loss ≥0.7 mm) and symptomatic progression (WOMAC pain increase ≥9). Cross-validated models achieved AUCs of around 0.7 for structural and around 0.77 for symptomatic progression, confirming robust prognostic performance.
The study represents a collaborative effort across multiple international partners, highlighting the power of shared data to advance osteoarthritis research. Validating imaging biomarkers can help enrich disease modifying osteoarthritis drug (DMOAD) trials by selectively including putative progressors”, rendering the studies more efficient. The current work supports ongoing efforts toward formal biomarker qualification with regulatory agencies, a key step in accelerating DMOAD development.
Thanks to Jamie E Collins, Peter Mesenbrink, Rui Jin, Erik B Dam, Leticia A Deveza, Felix Eckstein, Ali Guermazi, Christoph Ladel, Thomas A Perry, Douglas Robinson, Frank W Roemer, Christopher J Swearingen, Wolfgang Wirth, Virginia B Kraus, and David J Hunter for this huge collaborative effort.
In the Foundation for the National Institutes of Health (FNIH) Osteoarthritis Biomarkers Consortium (Phase 1), quantitative MRI biomarkers of cartilage morphology, derived using Chondrometrics software and expertise, were shown to predict structural progression in knee osteoarthritis, and to contribute to the multivariate models of predicting progression:
Cartilage Thickness Change as an Imaging Biomarker of Knee Osteoarthritis Progression: Data From the Foundation for the National Institutes of Health Osteoarthritis Biomarkers Consortium.
F Eckstein, JE Collins , MC Nevitt, JA Lynch, VB Kraus, JN Katz, E Losina, W Wirth, A Guermazi, FW Roemer, DJ Hunter; FNIH OA Biomarkers Consortium.
Arthritis Rheumatol. 2015 Dec;67(12):3184-9. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/26316262/
Multivariable Modeling of Biomarker Data From the Phase I Foundation for the National Institutes of Health Osteoarthritis Biomarkers Consortium.
Hunter DJ, Deveza LA, Collins JE, Losina E, Katz JN, Nevitt MC, Lynch JA, Roemer FW, Guermazi A, Bowes MA, Dam EB, Eckstein F, Kwoh CK, Hoffmann S, Kraus VB.
Arthritis Care Res 2022 Jul;74(7):1142-1153 https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33421361/
The current findings in FNIH2 (Progress OA) confirm similar associations between baseline quantitative cartilage MRI biomarkers and radiographic disease progression as in Phase 1, both in direction and magnitude. Cartilage thickness measures demonstrated consistent prognostic associations across Phases 1 and 2, underscoring their robustness and reproducibility as biomarkers. In multivariable models, cartilage thickness over the central medial femoral condyle (cMF) and the medial femorotibial compartment (MFTC) were consistently identified as predictors of progression.
Chondrometrics is proud to contribute to this effort in the FNIH OA Biomarker Consortium through two decades of innovation and rigorous validation of quantitative MRI analysis, enabling precise, standardized measurement of tissue morphology using its regulatory compliant platform, to help advance scientific and clinical development.
2 Comments
Jamie Collins
•Thanks so much for highlighting this study. I was struck by how similar the findings were between FNIH Phase I (a nested case-control study within the Osteoarthritis Initiative) and PROGRESS OA (participants from the placebo arms of several RCTs). Despite the difference in study populations (OAI participants had lower pain and less severe structural OA), associations between several baseline biomarkers and progression outcomes were remarkably similar. These data underscore the robustness of these biomarkers in identifying progressors and their potential for use in prognostic enrichment.
Felix Eckstein
•Thanks Jamie. With more and more (imaging) biomarkers emerging, these type of “clinical” validation exercises are so essential. After Phase I (the OAI Subcohort) and Phase II (Progress OA), we are super excited about Phase III (OA Trial Bank) starting up any time soon.
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